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Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe global cutting cycle is here, says Goldman Sachs' Alexandra Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management co-CIO of multi-asset management, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the impact of AI, 2024 outlook, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Management
TOKYO (AP) — Shares declined Wednesday in Asia after disappointingly high U.S. inflation data sent stocks sliding on Wall Street and raised prospects that interest rates will remain elevated for longer. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index resumed trading after the Lunar New Year holiday, edging 0.7% higher to 15,861.77 after opening lower. High interest rates hurt all kinds of investments, and they tend to particularly hurt high-growth stocks like technology companies. Stocks of smaller companies fell even more because high rates could hurt them more than bigger rivals by making it more difficult to borrow cash. Yields jumped in the bond market as traders built up expectations for the Fed to keep rates high for longer.
Persons: Australia's, Korea's Kospi, Sensex, Tuesday’s, Russell, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Carl Icahn Organizations: TOKYO, , Nikkei, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Fed, Treasury, Goldman, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Wall, JetBlue Airways, New York Mercantile Exchange, Brent, U.S Locations: Asia, Indonesia, Southeast, China, Bangkok, Goldman Sachs
Investors shouldn't expect too many changes in 2024, according to the top investing minds at Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM). GSAM strategists suggested that investors are overlooking the risk that the conflicts cause a sharp slowdown. Higher bond yields usually reflect higher risk since investors demand better compensation for going out on a limb. But it's not just junk bonds that have enticing yields — Wilson-Elizondo said debt for investment-grade firms pays mid-single-digit rates despite boasting robust fundamentals. Sophisticated investors can enhance their returns further with private credit, which Wilson-Elizondo said can offer lofty yields of 11% to 12%.
Persons: they're, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, GSAM's, Ashish Shah, Shah, David Rosenberg, Wilson, Michael Bruun, it's, Goldman Sachs, Bruun, " Bruun, — Wilson Organizations: Investors, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Federal Reserve, Consumers, BSE, Nikkei Locations: GSAM, Israel, Ukraine, India, Japan, China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe Fed is looking for a rate to be at for a long period of time: Goldman Sachs' Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, the Fed's inflation fight, interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailNext year will be anything but average, says Goldman Sachs' Alexandra Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, what to expect for the Fed's rate decision this afternoon, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management
While the Federal Reserve's latest release was more hawkish than expected, the main risk the the central bank faces is tarnishing its anti-inflation credibility, which warrants favoring their hawkish reaction, said Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, deputy chief investment officer of multi-asset strategies at Goldman Sachs Asset Management. The recent rise in energy prices and resilient economic activity data likely drove the Fed's forecasts, she said. "We don't see a singular upcoming bearish catalyst, although strikes, the shutdown, and the resumption of student loan repayments collectively will sting and drive bumpiness in the data between now and their next decision," she said. "As a result, we believe that their next meeting will be live, but not a done deal." — Michelle Fox
Persons: Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, — Michelle Fox Organizations: Federal, Goldman Sachs Asset Management
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via Email4% Federal Funds rate is attractive to us, Goldman Sachs' Alexandra Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss why it won't be a smooth path ahead for equity markets, rate hike levels, and what Elizondo's portfolio looks like right now.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management
REUTERS/Ralph OrlowskiSummaryCompanies U.S. CPI data for June shows inflation slowdownWall Street stocks gainDollar, Treasury yields dropOil and gold gainJuly 12 (Reuters) - Wall Street stocks advanced on Wednesday and the dollar and Treasury yields fell after new U.S. inflation data showed a slowdown in the seemingly relentless rise of consumer prices. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. Shares of big tech-related companies, which tend to be sensitive to higher interest rates, gave the S&P 500 its biggest boost. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.865%, down 11.9 basis points . Wall Street banks overall are expected to report higher profits as rising interest payments offset a downturn in deal making.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Will Dunham, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, CPI, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Wednesday, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, Wednesday ., Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York
[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in prices of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.853%, down 12.9 basis points . EARNINGS AHEADOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Scott Wren, Wren, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Jan Harvey, Chizu Nomiyama, Mark Heinrich Our Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Wells, Investment Institute, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, dealmaking, Boston, London, Singapore, Carolina, New York
[1/2] A trader works at the Frankfurt stock exchange, amid the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2020. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) gained just 0.2% last month, the Labor Department said on Wednesday, lifted by rises in gasoline prices as well as rents, which offset a decrease in the price of used motor vehicles. CPI advanced 3.0% in the 12 months through June, down from 4.0% in May and the smallest year-on-year increase since March 2021. /FRXU.S. Treasury yields also dropped, with the 10-year Treasury yield now at 3.885%, down 9.7 basis points . GLOBAL STOCKS, COMMODITIESOvernight in Asia, Australia's S&P/ASX 200 index (.AXJO) rose 0.4%, while the bouncing yen knocked Japan's Nikkei (.N225) down 0.8%.
Persons: Ralph Orlowski, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Bryce Doty, Australia's, Wells, Brent, Lawrence Delevingne, Marc Jones, Ankur Banerjee, Shashwat Chauhan, Jan Harvey, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Companies U.S, Treasury, Index, Labor Department, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Bank of England, U.S, Sit Investment, Fed, Bank of Canada, Japan's Nikkei, JPMorgan, Citigroup, Brent, Thomson Locations: Frankfurt, Germany, U.S, Minneapolis, Asia, Boston, London, Singapore, Bengaluru
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWatch CNBC's full interview with Goldman Sachs' Alexandra Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what it'll take to tame inflation, the message from the last Federal Reserve meeting, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management, Reserve
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIt's a really high bar for Fed not to hike rates, says Goldman Sachs' Alexandra Wilson-ElizondoAlexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Goldman Sachs Asset Management deputy CIO of multi-asset solutions, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss what it'll take to tame inflation, the message from the last Federal Reserve meeting, and more.
Persons: Goldman Sachs, Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo Alexandra Wilson, Elizondo, Goldman Organizations: Asset Management, Reserve
In fact, excluding the drag from inventories, GDP growth actually would have been closer to 3.4%, well above trend. However, most economists and strategists on Wall Street think the U.S. economy is still on the path to recession. We continue to expect the drag from higher interest rates and tightening credit conditions to push the economy into a mild recession soon." Jim Baird, chief investment officer, Plante Moran Financial Advisors "For all the discussion of recession risk – which is very real – consumers remain willing and able to spend. Recession risks remain elevated; the first estimate of Q1 GDP confirms that the economy continues to slow.
Investors have mostly yawned at lower inflation data this week, keeping stocks range-bound. Strategists at the asset management arms of Goldman Sachs and UBS are signaling caution. The message from markets is clear: lower inflation isn't necessarily a green light for stocks. Strategists at UBS Global Wealth Management (GWM) and Goldman Sachs Asset Management issued even sterner warnings, with neither seeing much upside for stocks in the foreseeable future. Goldman Sachs Asset Management is also bullish on long-duration assets while the economy weakens, especially compared to riskier high-yield bonds.
Wednesday’s data showed consumer prices growing at a slower pace than expected last month, bolstering the argument that inflation is decelerating. Yet some investors believe markets may have already accounted for a mild inflation slowdown and say further gains in stocks could depend on whether upcoming corporate earnings - especially results from banks - can beat forecasts. Earnings per share for the six largest U.S. banks are expected to fall 10% from the same quarter last year, according to Refinitv data. Overall, analysts expect S&P 500 earnings to fall 5.2% in the first quarter of 2023 from the year-ago period, I/B/E/S data from Refinitiv as of April 7 showed. That weakness would come on the heels of a 3.2% earnings fall in the fourth quarter of 2022, a back-to-back decline known as an earnings recession which has not occurred since COVID-19 blasted corporate results in 2020.
The S&P 500 (.SPX) index was down about 1% on Friday though still up 8% on the year. The Labor Department's nonfarm payrolls report on Friday showed a gain of 517,000 jobs in January, almost three times what was expected. The Fed's policy rate is currently in the 4.50%-4.75% range. Those betting that the Fed might cut rates later this year also lost some conviction, with fed funds futures traders now expecting the policy rate to go down to 4.7% in December. Reporting by Davide Barbuscia; Editing by Ira Iosebashvili and Paul SimaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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